NC Strategic Scorecard
3.2.3 High School Graduation Rate

Target: Rank among top 20 states in public high school graduation rate (100% of US average)
Actual: 83% of US average
US Rank 2002: 37th ((tie); down from 39th (tie) in 2000)
SE Rank 2002: 4th (4th in 2000)
SE Region: AL FL GA KY MS NC SC TN VA WV   Updated 3/28/06

 
Primary Performance Indicator



Public High School
Graduation Rate

 Performance Trend:
Declining
The trend depicts the degree to which actual performance has approached the target in recent years.
Comments
Since 1993, NC (like most states) has made no real progress in improving high school graduation rates.
NC’s competitive rankings have changed little, leaving NC with the 37th lowest graduation rate in the US and 4th lowest rate in the SE region.
According to the Manhattan Institute, the national graduation rate for public high school students fell from 72% in 1993 to 71% in 2002. During the same time period, the percent of students leaving high school with the requisite skills for college rose from 28% to 34%, an indication that higher state graduation standards can suppress graduation rates even as they produce more competent graduates.
  Definition (What Is Being Measured)
Estimated number of public high school graduates in current school year divided by 9th grade enrollment from four years earlier.
Source: Manhattan Institute for Policy Research & US Dept. of Education, National Center for Education Statistics.
Relevance (Why This Is Important)
Low high school graduation rates, or high dropout rates, reflect potential quality problems in public school systems and, in the long term, can undermine the competitiveness of the work force and contribute to broader social ills.
 
Other Highlights
North Carolina
In 2004, after four years of decline, NC’s high school dropout rate rose (and only 39% of 2004 graduates passed all five standard end-of-course exams). (NC Department of Public Instruction).
In 2003, NC’s dropout rate for pupils aged 16 to 19 was the 16th highest in the US (tie).
Graduation rates vary widely among racial groups, but NC’s rate variances are considerably lower than the national variances. In 2002, according to Morgan Quitno Press, the national graduation rate differential was 24.6 percentage points between white and African-American students and 20.9 percentage points between white and Hispanic students. In contrast, the NC graduation rate differential was 16.5 percentage points between white and African-American students and 9.2 percentage points between white and Hispanic students.
 
 
In 2002, the state's rural dropout rate was 125% of the state's urban dropout rate (NC Rural Economic Development Center).

Southeast Region
 
National
   
Global
  Data Links
US Dept. of Education, National Center for Education Statistics
National Education Association
Southern Growth Policies Board
The Smartest State Award

NC Department of Public Instruction
NC Public School Forum
NC Education Research Council
US Dept. of Education, Office of Innovation and Improvement
Southern Regional Education Board
Goal 3.2: Make Prudent Investments in Public Education